1. Forex Market Insight
EUR/USD
The euro fell by 0.74% to 1.0853 against the dollar, coming off an intraday low of 1.0805 driven by short-covering.
The European officials are divided on whether to sanction Russian oil exports despite Europe’s quest to reduce its dependence on Russian gas.
Technical Analysis:
(EUR/USD 1-hour chart)
Execution Insight:
Focus on the 1.0832-line today. If the euro runs steadily above the 1.0832-line, then pay attention to the suppression strength of the two positions of 1.0890 and 1.1031. If the strength of the euro breaks below the 1.0832-line, then pay attention to the support strength of the two positions of 1.0776 and 1.0697.
GBP Intraday Trend Analysis
Fundamental Analysis:
The market generally expects a sustained $20 rise in oil prices to reduce real economic growth in the U.K. by 0.6% and in the U.S. by 0.3%.
But in a more unfavorable scenario, if Russian gas shipments through Ukraine are cut, then the U.K.’s GDP could fall by as much as 1% due to just one factor, gas.
As a result, the pound fell by 1.02% against the dollar to 1.3102, the lowest level since November 2020.
Technical Analysis:
(GBP/USD 1-hour chart)
Execution Insight:
The pound is mainly focused on the 1.3104-line today. If the pound runs above the 1.3104-line, it will pay attention to the suppression strength of the two positions of 1.3186 and 1.3276. If the pound runs below the 1.3104-line, it will pay attention to the support strength of the 1.2991-line.
2. Precious Metals Market Insight
Gold
Fundamental Analysis:
Forecasts for 10-year inflation in U.S. and European bond markets rose to record highs, fueling fears of an inflationary shock to the global economy and boosting demand for gold as a store of value.
As a result, spot gold rose for three days in a row, hitting a new high since 19th August 2020 to $2002.5 per ounce.
Technical Analysis:
(Gold 1-hour chart)
Trading Strategies:
Gold is focused on the 2008-line today. If the gold price runs steadily below the 2008-line, then it will pay attention to the support strength of the two positions of 1981 and 1960. If the gold price exceeds the 2008-line, it will open up further upward trend. At that time, pay attention to the suppression strength of the 2036-line.
3. Commodities Market Insight
WTI Crude Oil
Fundamental Analysis:
Oil prices jumped to their highest level since 2008 yesterday, 7th March 2022, as the U.S. and European allies considered banning oil imports from Russia.
Meanwhile, the prospect of a rapid return of Iranian crude to the global market appeared to have diminished.
Technical Analysis:
(Crude oil 1-hour chart)
Trading Strategies:
Oil prices focus on the 127.10-line today. If the oil price runs below the 127.10-line, then focus on the support strength of the 116.30 and 111.95 positions. If the oil price breaks above the 127.10-line, then pay attention to the suppression of the 133.81-line.
Disclaimer
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